Covid-19 remains an overhang on the near-term growth outlook of Asia and lockdown measures are constraining consumption growth, Morgan Stanley said on Friday.Strength in exports and capex has lifted Asia's overall GDP closer to its pre-Covid path, but consumption remains below its pre-Covid path, it said in a research report titled 'The Viewpoint: The Next Phase in Asia's Recovery' authored by Chetan Ahya, Derrick Y Kam and Jonathan Cheung.However, the report forecast vaccination rates for adult population reaching 80 per cent or higher in 10 out of 12 economies (accounting for 95 per cent of the region's GDP) in the region by 4Q21."These high rates of vaccinations will allow policymakers to shift their Covid management strategy and allow restrictions to be relaxed, which we expect in turn lead to a full-fledged recovery in growth from early next year."Powered by all its engines, said the report, Asia's growth momentum should improve in the coming quarters. GDP levels will exceed ...
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GDP levels in Asia to exceed pre-Covid path from 1Q22: Morgan Stanley
Friday, August 20, 2021
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